CSKA Sofia 1-1 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 24%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.98/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.72
-39% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +62%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
23.05.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
24.02.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
26.08.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 1-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
15.05.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
04.04.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-2 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
1-1
AWAY Cherno More Varna
73% Ball Possession 27%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia and Cherno More Varna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Sofia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 73% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 27%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.83 for Cherno More Varna.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?

CSKA Sofia 1-1 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 42%, draw 28%, Cherno More Varna 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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15 Mar 2025
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