Hebar 1918 2-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
51%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.7pp
51%
Away Win
45%
+5.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
217 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
28.04.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
16.02.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
18.08.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-1 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
29.04.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-4 HT 1-1 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
2-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebar 1918 edged past Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 49% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 51%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hebar 1918 and 0.80 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Hebar 1918 2-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 26%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 51%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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