Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.03/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.25
-15% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Saburtalo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-2 HT 0-2 Saburtalo GUR
25.08.2024 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 3-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
10.05.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
15.03.2024 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
02.12.2023 Saburtalo 0-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
29.09.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
1-2
AWAY Saburtalo
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo squeezed past Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 57% of the ball to Saburtalo's 43%, shots finished 24-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.00 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo?

Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 33%, draw 25%, Saburtalo 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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