Jubilo Iwata 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.05/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.19
-28% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 1.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
470 Passes 259
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
18.03.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-2 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
22.10.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
26.02.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-2 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
02.11.2019 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
18.09.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata squeezed past Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jubilo Iwata as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 60% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 40%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.33 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Jubilo Iwata 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - League Cup on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 42%, draw 26%, Shimizu S-Pulse 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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