Ventforet Kofu 0-1 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
19%
+12.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
43%
Away Win
56%
-12.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 60%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.13/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-5% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
183 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
317 Passes 477
1 Yellow Cards 0
08.10.2023 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-3 HT 2-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
22.04.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 1-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
19.10.2022 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-2 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
23.04.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
29.08.2021 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-0 HT 2-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
27.03.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
0-1
AWAY Machida Zelvia
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia squeezed past Ventforet Kofu 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 44% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 56%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.33 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Machida Zelvia?

Ventforet Kofu 0-1 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - League Cup on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 31%, draw 25%, Machida Zelvia 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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