V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 9 Apr 2025

V-Varen Nagasaki
1-2 HT 0-1
Shonan Bellmare
📅09/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - League Cup – 2025

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

V-Varen Nagasaki v Shonan Bellmare — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 43%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.21/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.79
-16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shonan Bellmare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.77 xG 2.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
280 Passes 198
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.05.2019 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JLK
06.03.2019 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JLK
31.08.2018 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-3 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
11.07.2018 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JPK
16.05.2018 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-0 HT 2-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JLK
14.03.2018 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 HT 1-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JLK

V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 Shonan Bellmare — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1-2
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare nicked a narrow win over V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Shonan Bellmare made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 58% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 42%, shots finished 18-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.33 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shonan Bellmare?

V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - League Cup on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 36%, draw 26%, Shonan Bellmare 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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