Montedio Yamagata 0-1 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
1.49/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -56%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
254 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-2 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
09.05.2021 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-0 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
01.11.2020 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-0 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
08.08.2020 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-4 HT 2-2 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
20.09.2014 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
13.04.2014 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-2 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
0-1
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga edged past Montedio Yamagata 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Kyoto Sanga made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 38% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 62%, shots finished 8-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 2.00 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Kyoto Sanga?

Montedio Yamagata 0-1 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - League Cup on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 37%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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