Auda 3-0 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 9 Apr 2025

Auda
3-0 HT 1-0
Liepaja
📅09/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.21/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.38
-15% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +49%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
16.0 Crosses 22.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Liepaja
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 0.85
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
433 Passes 207
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 2-1 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
21.07.2024 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
19.05.2024 Auda Auda 1-1 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
09.04.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
21.10.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
30.07.2023 Auda Auda 1-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
3-0
AWAY Liepaja
1.31 xG 0.71
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
220 Passes 336
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Auda vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda swept aside Liepaja 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Auda had 43% of the ball to Liepaja's 57%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.31 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Auda and 1.00 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Auda vs Liepaja?

Auda 3-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Auda 47%, draw 25%, Liepaja 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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