Erbil 2-2 Al Mosul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbil EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mosul EU Bookmakers 22%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.02/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.00
+35% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbil
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Mosul
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
08.01.2026 Al Mosul Al Mosul 0-2 HT 0-1 Erbil Erbil IRAK
POST-MATCH Erbil vs Al Mosul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil and Al Mosul couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Erbil at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Erbil vs Al Mosul?

Erbil 2-2 Al Mosul in the Iraq - Premier League on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbil vs Al Mosul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Erbil 52%, draw 28%, Al Mosul 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Erbil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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