Al Quwa Al Jawiya 5-0 Al-Qasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
13%
8.11
Away
70%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
2%
2/1
4%
2/2
42%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+11.8pp
13%
Draw
9%
+3.7pp
70%
Away Win
86%
-15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 91%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
199 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al-Qasim
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
22.01.2026 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-0 HT 2-0 Al-Qasim Al-Qasim IRAK
26.04.2025 Al-Qasim Al-Qasim 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya IRAK
23.02.2024 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3-0 Al-Qasim Al-Qasim IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Qasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quwa Al Jawiya cruised past Al-Qasim 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Al-Qasim carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Quwa Al Jawiya had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Quwa Al Jawiya and 0.33 for Al-Qasim.

What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Qasim?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 5-0 Al-Qasim in the Iraq - Premier League on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Qasim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qasim win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 17%, draw 13%, Al-Qasim 70%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al-Qasim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al-Qasim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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