Diala 1-0 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diala EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.57/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.71
+20% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
279 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diala
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Naft Maysan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
05.01.2026 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 1-1 HT 1-0 Diala Diala IRAK
21.04.2025 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 0-1 HT 0-0 Diala Diala IRAK
03.02.2025 Diala Diala 3-1 HT 3-1 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan IRAK
POST-MATCH Diala vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diala edged past Naft Maysan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Diala as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Diala had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Diala and 0.67 for Naft Maysan.

What was the final score of Diala vs Naft Maysan?

Diala 1-0 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diala vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diala win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Diala 46%, draw 30%, Naft Maysan 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diala), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diala) ✓ Under 2.5
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