Naft 1-0 Al Gharraf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
16%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
16%
Away Win
20%
-3.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharraf EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.25/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.82
-19% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Gharraf
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.01.2026 Al Gharraf 2-0 HT 0-0 Naft Naft IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft vs Al Gharraf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft nicked a narrow win over Al Gharraf 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Naft as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Naft vs Al Gharraf?

Naft 1-0 Al Gharraf in the Iraq - Premier League on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft vs Al Gharraf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Naft 51%, draw 32%, Al Gharraf 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naft) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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