Kızılyıldız 3-2 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.11
Draw
11%
8.78
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
2%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
85%
-3.3pp
12%
Draw
8%
+3.1pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.1pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +20%
2.79/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.90
+50% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +56%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
442 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
43.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
27.4 Crosses 12.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.16 xG 0.94
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
516 Passes 216
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
43 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-3 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
16.03.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
26.10.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-5 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
16.12.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-4 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
19.08.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 3-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
05.04.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-4 HT 1-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
3-2
AWAY Spartak Subotica
62% Ball Possession 38%
27 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız squeezed past Spartak Subotica 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 62% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 38%, shots finished 27-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Kızılyıldız and 1.00 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Spartak Subotica?

Kızılyıldız 3-2 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 82%, draw 12%, Spartak Subotica 7%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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