Novi Pazar 2-3 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 54%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.29/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.52
+21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
17.2 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FK Partizan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.37 xG 1.59
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
377 Passes 332
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2025 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
04.05.2025 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
08.03.2025 FK Partizan FK Partizan 3-2 HT 2-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
21.10.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-4 HT 2-2 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
07.04.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
06.11.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-3
AWAY FK Partizan
1.92 xG 0.97
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
318 Passes 345
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan nicked a narrow win over Novi Pazar 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 49% of the ball to FK Partizan's 51%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.92 to 0.97 — on chances, Novi Pazar could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Novi Pazar and 2.17 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs FK Partizan?

Novi Pazar 2-3 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 28%, draw 27%, FK Partizan 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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