Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Amed SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Amed SK EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.44/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.28
+17% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
23.8 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Amed SK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.70 xG 1.37
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
243 Passes 357
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.11.2025 Amed SK Amed SK 2-1 HT 0-1 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
01.03.2025 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Amed SK Amed SK T1L
06.10.2024 Amed SK Amed SK 0-4 HT 0-2 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1-1
AWAY Amed SK
0.89 xG 1.11
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
453 Passes 211
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Amed SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor and Amed SK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Esenler Erokspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 65% of the ball to Amed SK's 35%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.89 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 1.00 for Amed SK.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Amed SK?

Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Amed SK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Amed SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 45%, draw 26%, Amed SK 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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