İstanbulspor 0-1 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
51%
Away Win
51%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 55%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.22/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.95
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +60%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.1 Crosses 20.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 2.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
243 Passes 301
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2025 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 4-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
19.04.2025 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-2 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
27.02.2025 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-3 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TÜK
14.12.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-2 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
29.05.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
25.05.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-4 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
0-1
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.80 xG 1.18
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
287 Passes 585
78% Pass Accuracy 91%
14 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK squeezed past İstanbulspor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Erzurumspor FK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 36% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 64%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.80 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İstanbulspor and 1.67 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

İstanbulspor 0-1 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 22%, draw 26%, Erzurumspor FK 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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