NEC vs URA Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC v URA — Team-Based Signals
NEC vs URA Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
NEC 1-0 URA — Actual Match Statistics
NEC edged past URA 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had NEC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, NEC had 62% of the ball to URA's 38%, shots finished 17-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, URA led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for NEC and 1.33 for URA.
What was the final score of NEC vs URA?
NEC 1-0 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC vs URA?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split NEC 45%, draw 34%, URA 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.