Ilves Tampere vs Haka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ilves Tampere v Haka — Team-Based Signals
Ilves Tampere vs Haka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Ilves Tampere
FİN
1-2
HT 0-1
Haka
FİN
Ilves Tampere 3-2 Haka — Actual Match Statistics
Ilves Tampere edged past Haka 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Ilves Tampere had 62% of the ball to Haka's 38%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.34 to 1.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ilves Tampere's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ilves Tampere and 2.00 for Haka.
What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Haka?
Ilves Tampere 3-2 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Haka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 50%, draw 27%, Haka 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.