Leon 2-3 Cruz Azul — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 9 May 2025

Leon LDWLL→
2 - 3 HT 1 - 3
Cruz Azul DWDDW→
📅09/05/2025 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Leon vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.18
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
43%
2.1
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
59%
1.66
Over
41%
2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.94
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.46
2-3
48%
1.74
4-5
17%
4.43
6+
3%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.46
1/2
3%
30.0
1/X
5%
14.7
X/1
11%
6.81
X/2
16%
4.73
X/X
20%
4.05
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
24%
3.12
2/X
5%
13.95
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Leon v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Leon The Market 31%
Signal
AWAY Cruz Azul The Market 48%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.03 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.55
1.21 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Leon vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leon
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.87 xG 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
324 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.04.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-1 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
15.09.2024 Leon Leon 1-2 HT 1-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
22.02.2024 Leon Leon 2-3 HT 0-2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
29.10.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 1-0 Leon Leon MEK
09.04.2023 Leon Leon 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
09.10.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK

Leon 2-3 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leon
2 - 3
AWAY Cruz Azul
1.38 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 0
293 Passes 395
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Leon vs Cruz Azul
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cruz Azul edged past Leon 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Cruz Azul saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.38 to 1.33.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Leon against 1.50 for Cruz Azul.

Leon vs Cruz Azul Result & Final Score

Leon 2 - 3 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leon vs Cruz Azul Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leon 27%, draw 30%, Cruz Azul 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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