Necaxa 0-0 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.84
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
13%
5.57
X/2
10%
5.83
X/X
16%
4.17
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
19%
4.13
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Necaxa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.12/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.10
+6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 81%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.2 Crosses 20.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.72 xG 1.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 424
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Necaxa Necaxa 1-2 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
07.07.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
21.04.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 5-2 HT 0-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
21.08.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 0-3 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
04.03.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
09.10.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Necaxa
0-0
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.42 xG 0.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
263 Passes 310
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Necaxa vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Necaxa and Tigres UANL played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Necaxa had 47% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 53%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 1.42 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Necaxa and 2.33 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Necaxa vs Tigres UANL?

Necaxa 0-0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 37%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Necaxa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Necaxa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
9 May 2025
06:10 Leon vs Cruz Azul Analysis →