Auckland vs Adelaide United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auckland v Adelaide United — Team-Based Signals
Auckland vs Adelaide United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Auckland 1-1 Adelaide United — Actual Match Statistics
Auckland and Adelaide United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Auckland at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Auckland had 49% of the ball to Adelaide United's 51%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 0.87 to 1.55.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Auckland had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Auckland and 2.00 for Adelaide United.
What was the final score of Auckland vs Adelaide United?
Auckland 1-1 Adelaide United in the Australia - A-League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auckland vs Adelaide United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Auckland 45%, draw 27%, Adelaide United 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auckland), Over 2.5 went the other way.