Qabala 1-1 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 9 May 2026

Qabala
1-1 HT 0-1
Karabağ
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Qabala vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
17%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
56%
Away Win
63%
-6.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qabala v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 67%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
0.53/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.80
-31% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Qabala vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Karabağ
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
The Meetings
21.12.2025 Qabala Qabala 1-2 HT 1-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
26.09.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 2-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
04.12.2024 Qabala Qabala 0-2 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERK
28.02.2024 Qabala Qabala 0-4 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
04.12.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 3-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
25.09.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-2 HT 0-2 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qabala and Karabağ shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Karabağ carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Qabala and 2.50 for Karabağ.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Karabağ?

Qabala 1-1 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Qabala 19%, draw 25%, Karabağ 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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