KTP Kotka vs KaPa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KTP Kotka v KaPa — Team-Based Signals
KTP Kotka vs KaPa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
KTP Kotka 2-1 KaPa — Actual Match Statistics
KTP Kotka squeezed past KaPa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
On the day, KTP Kotka had 54% of the ball to KaPa's 46%, shots finished 10-6.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for KTP Kotka and 1.25 for KaPa.
What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs KaPa?
KTP Kotka 2-1 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs KaPa?
Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 58%, draw 26%, KaPa 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.