FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Goa v ATK Mohun Bagan — Team-Based Signals
FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-3
FC Goa
HİNSL
2-1
HT 1-1
FC Goa
HİNSL
FC Goa 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan — Actual Match Statistics
FC Goa and ATK Mohun Bagan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ATK Mohun Bagan at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, FC Goa had 45% of the ball to ATK Mohun Bagan's 55%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.66 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Goa and 1.33 for ATK Mohun Bagan.
What was the final score of FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
FC Goa 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 20%, draw 24%, ATK Mohun Bagan 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), BTTS No went the other way.