ATK Mohun Bagan 1-3 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
7.78
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
51%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.14
2-3 Goals
43%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.6
6+ Goals
10%
6.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
38%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
10%
+18.3pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.2pp
51%
Away Win
74%
-22.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.9pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 78%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% /
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
241 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Goa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.90 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
288 Passes 319
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
20.12.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-1 HT 1-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
14.02.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 0-1 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
23.12.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-4 HT 1-3 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
28.12.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
20.11.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 3-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa beat ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Goa as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 1.67 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs FC Goa?

ATK Mohun Bagan 1-3 FC Goa in the India - Super Cup on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 28%, draw 20%, FC Goa 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Goa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HINSK More India - Super Cup
30 Apr 2025
17:30 Mumbai City vs Jamshedpur Analysis →