Mumbai City 0-1 Jamshedpur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
6%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 31% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+8.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 48%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
2.82/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+85% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mumbai City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jamshedpur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.31 xG 1.51
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
365 Passes 219
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.01.2025 Mumbai City Mumbai City 0-3 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
21.09.2024 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 3-2 HT 2-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
08.03.2024 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-1 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
04.02.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-3 HT 2-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
08.08.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 5-0 HT 3-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HINDK
27.01.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-2 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
POST-MATCH Mumbai City vs Jamshedpur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamshedpur edged past Mumbai City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Jamshedpur found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jamshedpur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mumbai City and 1.83 for Jamshedpur.

What was the final score of Mumbai City vs Jamshedpur?

Mumbai City 0-1 Jamshedpur in the India - Super Cup on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs Jamshedpur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 39%, draw 23%, Jamshedpur 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mumbai City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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