HNK Cibalia 2-0 Radnik Sesvete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
1.21/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.05
-5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.12.2025 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
13.09.2025 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 0-0 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
17.04.2025 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 1-2 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
30.11.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
18.09.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HT 1-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
23.05.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
2-0
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Radnik Sesvete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia beat Radnik Sesvete 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HNK Cibalia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 53% of the ball to Radnik Sesvete's 47%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HNK Cibalia and 0.83 for Radnik Sesvete.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Radnik Sesvete?

HNK Cibalia 2-0 Radnik Sesvete in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Radnik Sesvete?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 44%, draw 26%, Radnik Sesvete 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Cibalia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR2 More Croatia - 2.HNL
9 May 2026
18:00 Dubrava Zagreb vs Orijent 1919 Analysis →
18:00 Dugopolje vs Bijelo Brdo Analysis →