Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sarpsborg 08 v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Fredrikstad — Actual Match Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 squeezed past Fredrikstad 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sarpsborg 08 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (57%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 60% to 40% in Sarpsborg 08's favour, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 2.03 to 0.97.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Sarpsborg 08 against 1.33 for Fredrikstad.
Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad Result & Final Score
Sarpsborg 08 2 - 1 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 51%, draw 25%, Fredrikstad 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.