İtalya 2-0 Moldova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Jun 2025

İtalya
2-0 HT 1-0
Moldova
📅09/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

İtalya vs Moldova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.11
Draw
17%
8.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.17
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.75
No
53%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.74
2-3 Goals
33%
2.31
4-5 Goals
32%
2.37
6+ Goals
15%
4.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1.1
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
35.0
X/1
13%
3.98
X/2
5%
35.0
X/X
4%
17.0
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
4%
35.0
2/X
7%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
85%
-15.1pp
17%
Draw
8%
+8.9pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.9pp
53%
BTTS No
68%
-14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İtalya v Moldova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Moldova EU Bookmakers 9%
-17% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.34/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.46
-33% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -30%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
482 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
38.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.7
22.9 Crosses 10.7
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

İtalya vs Moldova Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Moldova
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
4.42 xG 0.87
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
651 Passes 227
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 4
17 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2020 İtalya İtalya 6-0 HT 5-0 Moldova Moldova HAZ
12.10.2005 İtalya İtalya 2-1 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova DKE
08.09.2004 Moldova Moldova 0-1 HT 0-1 İtalya İtalya DKE

İtalya 2-0 Moldova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya
2-0
AWAY Moldova
2.68 xG 1.07
65% Ball Possession 35%
28 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
554 Passes 263
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
48 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İtalya vs Moldova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya beat Moldova 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İtalya as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İtalya had 65% of the ball to Moldova's 35%, shots finished 28-18, expected goals 2.68 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İtalya had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for İtalya and 0.33 for Moldova.

What was the final score of İtalya vs Moldova?

İtalya 2-0 Moldova in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya vs Moldova?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split İtalya 70%, draw 17%, Moldova 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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