Belçika vs Galler Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Belçika v Galler — Team-Based Signals
Belçika vs Galler Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Galler
AVUL
1-1
HT 0-0
Belçika
AVUL
1-1
HT 1-1
Belçika
DKE
3-1
HT 2-1
Galler
DKE
1-0
HT 1-0
Belçika
AVŞE
0-0
HT 0-0
Galler
AVŞE
Belçika 4-3 Galler — Actual Match Statistics
Belçika edged past Galler 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Belçika as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Belçika had 46% of the ball to Galler's 54%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.98 to 2.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belçika had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Belçika and 0.83 for Galler.
What was the final score of Belçika vs Galler?
Belçika 4-3 Galler in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Belçika vs Galler?
Before kick-off our model rated a Belçika win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Belçika 59%, draw 25%, Galler 15%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belçika), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.