Estonya 0-1 Norveç — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Jun 2025

Estonya
0-1 HT 0-0
Norveç
📅09/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Estonya vs Norveç Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
21%
7.78
Away
62%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.4
No
43%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.15
2-3 Goals
37%
2.1
4-5 Goals
27%
2.5
6+ Goals
17%
5.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
35.0
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
6%
35.0
X/1
6%
35.0
X/2
25%
3.83
X/X
5%
12.3
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
33%
1.21
2/X
10%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+11.6pp
21%
Draw
9%
+11.7pp
62%
Away Win
85%
-23.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
38%
+19.9pp
43%
BTTS No
62%
-19.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estonya v Norveç — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estonya EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Norveç EU Bookmakers 91%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.00/2.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.12/0.52
+150% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / –
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
225 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 561 · 87%
13.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.8
12.6 Crosses 26.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.8

Estonya vs Norveç Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estonya
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Norveç
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
The Meetings
24.03.2016 Estonya Estonya 0-0 HT 0-0 Norveç Norveç HAZ
12.11.2014 Norveç Norveç 0-1 HT 0-1 Estonya Estonya HAZ
20.04.2005 Estonya Estonya 1-2 HT 0-1 Norveç Norveç HAZ

Estonya 0-1 Norveç — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estonya
0-1
AWAY Norveç
0.20 xG 2.99
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
292 Passes 512
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estonya vs Norveç
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norveç nicked a narrow win over Estonya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Norveç as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estonya had 38% of the ball to Norveç's 62%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.20 to 2.99 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Norveç's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estonya and 0.67 for Norveç.

What was the final score of Estonya vs Norveç?

Estonya 0-1 Norveç in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estonya vs Norveç?

Before kick-off our model rated an Norveç win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Estonya 17%, draw 21%, Norveç 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norveç) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norveç) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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