Faroe Adaları 2-1 Cebelitarık — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Jun 2025

📅09/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 24% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.52
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
23.3
X/1
23%
3.59
X/2
4%
20.85
X/X
11%
6.42
2/1
4%
28.0
2/2
6%
20.7
2/X
5%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.3pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.3pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Faroe Adaları EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Cebelitarık EU Bookmakers 12%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.63/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/4.04
-58% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -45%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
467 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.1
15.0 Crosses 7.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Faroe Adaları
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cebelitarık
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
26.03.2022 Cebelitarık Cebelitarık 0-0 HT 0-0 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Faroe Adaları
2-1
AWAY Cebelitarık
2.11 xG 0.21
73% Ball Possession 27%
22 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
522 Passes 150
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
42 Box Touches 12
40 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Faroe Adaları vs Cebelitarık
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Faroe Adaları edged past Cebelitarık 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Faroe Adaları as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Faroe Adaları had 73% of the ball to Cebelitarık's 27%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.11 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Faroe Adaları's control.

What was the final score of Faroe Adaları vs Cebelitarık?

Faroe Adaları 2-1 Cebelitarık in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Faroe Adaları vs Cebelitarık?

Before kick-off our model rated a Faroe Adaları win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Faroe Adaları 63%, draw 22%, Cebelitarık 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Faroe Adaları), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Faroe Adaları) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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