Hırvatistan 5-1 Çekya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Jun 2025

📅09/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
11%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 28% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.81
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.82
X/2
7%
7.65
X/X
16%
4.46
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
13%
5.77
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hırvatistan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Çekya EU Bookmakers 29%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.20/3.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.16/1.08
-14% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
Crosses 25.4
Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hırvatistan
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Çekya
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
351 Passes 351
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.06.2021 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan 1-1 HT 0-1 Çekya Çekya AVR
09.02.2011 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan 4-2 HT 2-2 Çekya Çekya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hırvatistan
5-1
AWAY Çekya
3.63 xG 1.39
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
466 Passes 246
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hırvatistan vs Çekya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hırvatistan cruised past Çekya 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hırvatistan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hırvatistan had 61% of the ball to Çekya's 39%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 3.63 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hırvatistan had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hırvatistan and 1.50 for Çekya.

What was the final score of Hırvatistan vs Çekya?

Hırvatistan 5-1 Çekya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hırvatistan vs Çekya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hırvatistan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hırvatistan 45%, draw 28%, Çekya 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hırvatistan), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hırvatistan) ✓ Over 2.5
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