Nacional de Football vs Boston River Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v Boston River — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Boston River Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Nacional de Football
URU
3-1
HT 1-0
Boston River
URU
Nacional de Football 2-1 Boston River — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football squeezed past Boston River 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 53% of the ball to Boston River's 47%, shots finished 14-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nacional de Football and 1.17 for Boston River.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Boston River?
Nacional de Football 2-1 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Boston River?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 56%, draw 22%, Boston River 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.