Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Jul 2025

📅09/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over Pick
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
40%
4-5
27%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nizhny Novgorod The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi The Market 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nizhny Novgorod
1W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.58 xG 1.82
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
319 Passes 208
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2025 Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod 1-3 HT 0-3 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS1
28.05.2025 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-2 HT 1-1 Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod RUS1
01.07.2022 Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nizhny Novgorod
1-0
AWAY FC Sochi
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nizhny Novgorod nicked a narrow win over FC Sochi 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sochi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nizhny Novgorod had 45% of the ball to FC Sochi's 55%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nizhny Novgorod and 1.67 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi?

Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 FC Sochi in the Friendlies on 09/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nizhny Novgorod 34%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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