Augsburg II 2-5 Schwaben Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.3pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg II EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Augsburg II
2-5
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Augsburg II vs Schwaben Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schwaben Augsburg ran out comfortable winners over Augsburg II 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Augsburg II at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Augsburg II had 59% of the ball to Schwaben Augsburg's 41%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Augsburg II vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Augsburg II 2-5 Schwaben Augsburg in the Germany - Regional League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg II vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Augsburg II 57%, draw 19%, Schwaben Augsburg 24%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Augsburg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Augsburg II) ✓ Over 2.5
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