Norwich City 1-2 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.68
Over
48%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.84
No
47%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.72
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
21%
4.03
6+
10%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.05
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
16%
4.8
X/2
11%
6.8
X/X
14%
4.2
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
13%
5.23
2/X
7%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Norwich City The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall The Market 32%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.60 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.05
1.20 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.24
Great Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Strong
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.8 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Millwall
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.32
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
434 Passes 244
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Millwall Millwall 3-1 HT 2-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
26.12.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 2-1 HT 2-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
29.12.2023 Millwall Millwall 1-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
20.08.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 3-1 HT 1-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
04.03.2023 Millwall Millwall 2-3 HT 1-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
19.08.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 2-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
1-2
AWAY Millwall
1.04 xG 2.09
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
352 Passes 198
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Norwich City vs Millwall
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Millwall squeezed past Norwich City 2-1 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match lean was Norwich City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.68, roughly 60%.

The match data tells the story: Norwich City had 58% of the ball to Millwall's 42%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.04 to 2.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Norwich City and 1.33 for Millwall.

Norwich City vs Millwall Result & Final Score

Norwich City 1-2 Millwall in the England - Championship on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Norwich City vs Millwall Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 44%, draw 26%, Millwall 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Norwich City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norwich City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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