Middlesbrough vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Middlesbrough v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals
Middlesbrough vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics
Middlesbrough came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Swansea City 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we said in the preview, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring. At 1.68 (~60%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, Middlesbrough had 54% of the ball to Swansea City's 46%, shots finished 6-3, expected goals 0.35 to 0.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Middlesbrough and 0.67 for Swansea City.
Middlesbrough vs Swansea City Result & Final Score
Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Middlesbrough vs Swansea City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 50%, draw 26%, Swansea City 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.