Orense 1-1 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.09/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.16
-16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.2 Crosses 14.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.77 xG 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
227 Passes 362
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Uni. Catolica 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
14.09.2024 Orense Orense 2-2 HT 2-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
31.03.2024 Uni. Catolica 5-1 HT 3-1 Orense Orense EKV1
16.09.2023 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
18.04.2023 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
18.09.2022 Uni. Catolica 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
POST-MATCH Orense vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense and Uni. Catolica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Orense and 2.33 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Orense vs Uni. Catolica?

Orense 1-1 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Orense 37%, draw 26%, Uni. Catolica 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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