Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-0
Libertad
EKV1
Mushuc Runa 1-2 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad squeezed past Mushuc Runa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Libertad found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 66% of the ball to Libertad's 34%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 2.53 to 1.23 — on chances, Mushuc Runa could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.17 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Libertad?
Mushuc Runa 1-2 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 37%, draw 26%, Libertad 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.