Libertad vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-0
Libertad
EKV1
Libertad 2-1 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad squeezed past Mushuc Runa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Libertad had 48% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 52%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.68 to 1.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Libertad and 1.80 for Mushuc Runa.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Mushuc Runa?
Libertad 2-1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Mushuc Runa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Libertad 41%, draw 27%, Mushuc Runa 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.