Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
20%
4.54
X/2
9%
8.05
X/X
10%
5.43
2/1
9%
21.75
2/2
9%
5.87
2/X
7%
14.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.0pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.60/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.59
-5% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.8 Crosses 16.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Jeju United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
381 Passes 321
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
09.03.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
26.07.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
23.06.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-3 HT 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
28.04.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
21.07.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
1-0
AWAY Jeju United
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
346 Passes 363
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai squeezed past Jeju United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 49% of the ball to Jeju United's 51%, shots finished 21-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.00 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju United?

Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 50%, draw 23%, Jeju United 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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