Augsburg 0-1 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
9.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 28% vs market 19.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.95
1/2
7%
24.35
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
9%
6.27
X/2
16%
5.63
X/X
10%
5.19
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
19%
3.34
2/X
6%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.40/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.56
-4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +133%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Augsburg
0-1
AWAY Sunderland
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Augsburg vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland nicked a narrow win over Augsburg 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sunderland as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Augsburg had 51% of the ball to Sunderland's 49%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Augsburg vs Sunderland?

Augsburg 0-1 Sunderland in the Friendlies on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 35%, draw 24%, Sunderland 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sunderland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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