09/08/2025
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Köln vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.4
— our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
25%
25%
Draw
23%
38%
Away Win
52%
46%
Under 2.5
40%
54%
Over 2.5
60%
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
44%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Köln v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Köln
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Atalanta
EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% /
-3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+2%
1.26/2.15
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.53/0.47
+2%
/
-26%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+55%
/
+150%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
317 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
403 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
Köln 4-0 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Köln
4-0
AWAY
Atalanta
46%
Ball Possession
54%
16
Total Shots
1
5
Shots on Target
0
7
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
Köln vs Atalanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Köln cruised past Atalanta 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Köln made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Köln had 46% of the ball to Atalanta's 54%, shots finished 16-1.
What was the final score of Köln vs Atalanta?
Köln 4-0 Atalanta in the Friendlies on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Köln vs Atalanta?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Köln 37%, draw 25%, Atalanta 38%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Atalanta), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Atalanta)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
9 Aug 2025