Mainz 05 0-0 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.4
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.64
X/2
9%
8.18
X/X
12%
5.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.45
2/2
11%
5.67
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.45 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.69/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/2.19
+59% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mainz 05
0-0
AWAY RC Strasbourg
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 and RC Strasbourg fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mainz 05 had 54% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 46%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs RC Strasbourg?

Mainz 05 0-0 RC Strasbourg in the Friendlies on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 52%, draw 22%, RC Strasbourg 26%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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