Werder Bremen 1-2 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.45
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
12%
5.76
X/2
10%
6.0
X/X
13%
5.48
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.35
2/2
16%
3.68
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.3pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
3.19/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.61
+103% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +134%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Udinese
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
16.04.2009 Udinese Udinese 3-3 HT 3-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AVL
09.04.2009 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-1 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese AVL
02.11.2005 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 4-3 HT 2-0 Udinese Udinese ŞMP
18.10.2005 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen ŞMP
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udinese squeezed past Werder Bremen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Werder Bremen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Werder Bremen and 2.00 for Udinese.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Udinese?

Werder Bremen 1-2 Udinese in the Friendlies on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Udinese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 41%, draw 26%, Udinese 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Werder Bremen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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