Newcastle United 0-2 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Aug 2025

Newcastle United
0-2 HT 0-0
Atletico Madrid
📅09/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Newcastle United vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.31
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 30% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.92
1/2
6%
24.35
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
13%
6.19
X/2
13%
5.59
X/X
10%
5.19
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
22%
3.36
2/X
9%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle United v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 43%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.51/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.47
+4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
– Crosses 14.2
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Newcastle United 0-2 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United
0-2
AWAY Atletico Madrid
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
414 Passes 344
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid got the better of Newcastle United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Atletico Madrid made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Newcastle United had 54% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 46%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Atletico Madrid?

Newcastle United 0-2 Atletico Madrid in the Friendlies on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 36%, draw 24%, Atletico Madrid 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
9 Aug 2025
00:00 Werder Bremen vs Udinese Analysis →
11:30 Leganes vs Real Oviedo Analysis →
14:45 Manchester United vs Fiorentina Analysis →
16:00 Augsburg vs Sunderland Analysis →
16:30 Köln vs Atalanta Analysis →
16:30 Mainz 05 vs RC Strasbourg Analysis →