Millonarios 3-3 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.95
No
55%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-0.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
30%
+14.7pp
55%
BTTS No
70%
-14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +11%
1.27/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.28
-12% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
20.4 Crosses 13.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 Passes 266
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2025 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 3-1 HT 2-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
05.10.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
23.03.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
25.08.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
05.03.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
07.08.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 4-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
3-3
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.87 xG 1.47
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
267 Passes 230
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios and Deportivo Cali couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Millonarios at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Millonarios had 52% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 48%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.87 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Millonarios and 1.00 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali?

Millonarios 3-3 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 65%, draw 21%, Deportivo Cali 14%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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