Once Caldas 1-1 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.32/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.03
-9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +21%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
21.3 Crosses 13.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.94 xG 0.63
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
229 Passes 354
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
21.07.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
26.01.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
05.08.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-1 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
12.02.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-2 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
19.07.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-0 HT 2-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
1-1
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.66 xG 0.96
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
339 Passes 223
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas and Aguilas Doradas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Once Caldas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Once Caldas had 58% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 42%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.66 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Once Caldas and 0.83 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Aguilas Doradas?

Once Caldas 1-1 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 44%, draw 31%, Aguilas Doradas 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Once Caldas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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