MTK Budapest vs Diosgyor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MTK Budapest v Diosgyor — Team-Based Signals
MTK Budapest vs Diosgyor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-1
MTK Budapest
MAC
2-1
HT 1-0
Diosgyor
MAC
MTK Budapest 5-0 Diosgyor — Actual Match Statistics
MTK Budapest cruised past Diosgyor 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had MTK Budapest as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, MTK Budapest had 50% of the ball to Diosgyor's 50%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 3.31 to 0.73.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for MTK Budapest and 1.17 for Diosgyor.
What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Diosgyor?
MTK Budapest 5-0 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Diosgyor?
Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 50%, draw 25%, Diosgyor 25%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK Budapest), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.